Here are the 18 films
from Western Europe.
14. AUSTRIA- “Joy”
Number of countries who have participated in the past: 20
Already Seen: 12- Austria (B), Denmark (B+), Finland (B), Germany (B+), Greece (B-), Ireland (B+), Luxembourg (B+), Netherlands (A-), Spain (A-), Sweden (A), Switzerland (B-) and the UK (B+). I have tickets to see three of the others (France, Italy, and Portugal) this weekend.
Mirroring the
globalization of Western Europe, it’s striking how many of these films are actually made in other countries. Five of them were filmed entirely outside Western Europe
in Georgia, Guatemala, Israel, Malawi and Palestine, while the main characters
in the films from Austria and France (as well as their directors) are the
descendants of immigrants from Africa and the Middle East.
This is a strong
group, with more than half the films realistically competing for spots on the
10-film shortlist.
2. FRANCE- “Les Miserables”
3. DENMARK- “Queen of Hearts”
3. DENMARK- “Queen of Hearts”
These three films are likely to be on the ten-film shortlist, scheduled
to be announced on December 16th. “Pain and Glory” from SPAIN is
traditional Oscar bait- it’s by an auteur director who has already won two
Oscars, has big stars known to an American audience and is competitive in
mainstream categories (Actor, Screenplay). It also focuses on a lot of universal
issues that will resonate with any voter over 40- getting old, aging parents, nostalgia
for lost youth....I think this will guarantee one of the top spots with the large
committee, which has a lot of older voters. It would also probably be “saved”
if it needed to be. I thought it was a very well-made film with great acting
(especially Asier Etxeandia, who nobody ever seems to mention) although it
wouldn’t make my Top Five.
I wasn't sure about the appeal of urban drama and Cannes Jury Prize winner "Les Miserables" from FRANCE but the film has cruised through most of the precursors, netting nominations at the European Film Awards (against Germany, Italy and Spain), the BFCA (against Senegal, Spain and Korea) and, today, the Golden Globes (against Spain and Korea). Not to be confused with the story of Jean Valjean and Cosette, it's a crime drama about life in the poor, mostly black and Arab Parisian suburbs. I'll finally see it on Saturday afternoon but it seems almost like a lock at this point.
DENMARK has been nominated five of the past ten years (and shortlisted seven times)- the best record of any country in the world. This is for two main reasons- (1)- Denmark makes wonderful films and (2)- the Danish Academy understands what AMPAS likes. "Queen of Hearts" is on the bubble this year, but I have a feeling they'll make it. This is one of two female-driven erotic dramas (also see NETHERLANDS) this year. "Queen of Hearts" follows Anne, a successful wife and career woman with a beautiful home, two lovely daughters and a passion for helping underprivileged women and girls through her legal practice. She is also having a bit of a midlife crisis and seduces her delinquent 17-year old stepson. Most reviews paint Anne as the villain, although I don't see her that way. This is a complicated family drama that is likely to fall somewhere between the 9-12 range....
STRONG CONTENDERS:
DENMARK has been nominated five of the past ten years (and shortlisted seven times)- the best record of any country in the world. This is for two main reasons- (1)- Denmark makes wonderful films and (2)- the Danish Academy understands what AMPAS likes. "Queen of Hearts" is on the bubble this year, but I have a feeling they'll make it. This is one of two female-driven erotic dramas (also see NETHERLANDS) this year. "Queen of Hearts" follows Anne, a successful wife and career woman with a beautiful home, two lovely daughters and a passion for helping underprivileged women and girls through her legal practice. She is also having a bit of a midlife crisis and seduces her delinquent 17-year old stepson. Most reviews paint Anne as the villain, although I don't see her that way. This is a complicated family drama that is likely to fall somewhere between the 9-12 range....
STRONG CONTENDERS:
4. NORWAY- “Out Stealing
Horses”
5. GERMANY- “System
Crasher”
6. SWEDEN- “And Then We
Danced”
At least one of these films could make the Top Ten. Let's look at the Pros and Cons:
GERMANY-
In A Few Words: A violent, out-of-control 9-year old girl is bounced from foster home to foster home.
Pros: Well-made and well-plotted, with a fantastic lead performance and a great supporting cast. The film effectively dramatizes the moral dilemma and "no-win" situation for the German foster care system and even for the violent little girl.
Cons: It's difficult to sympathize with a violent, mentally disturbed lead character with criminal tendencies, destined to destroy every home she enters.
Bottom Line: It hasn't done well in the precursors, but it's definitely good enough to be on the bubble.
NORWAY-
In A Few Words: An elderly Swedish man returns to his old home in Norway where issues from his past resurface.
Pros: This is exactly the sort of film the Oscar committee would love in the 1980s and 1990s. Aimed at older voters, strong traditional filmmaking and storytelling.
Cons: It's not the 1980s anymore. Reviews are positive but not at all enthusiastic.
Bottom Line: It has a good chance with the large committee and none at all with the Elite one.
SWEDEN-
In A Few Words: An elite Georgian traditional dancer discovers his sexuality when he falls for another male dancer at the national dance school. It's representing Sweden because the openly gay director was born and raised in Sweden to Georgian immigrant parents.
Pros: It's an amazing film with an amazing backstory! It's a very thoughtful take on the usual "coming out" story with beautiful music, incredible dancing and surprisingly good acting from the unknown cast. It's exotic but relatable. The film's LGBT subject matter caused protests at its premiere in Georgia, and an Oscar nomination could show Georgia the value of the film.
Cons: This sort of slow-burn Eastern Euro drama and queer story is not what Oscar usually honors in this category.
Bottom Line: I think this is going to be a surprise snub, but I would love for Oscar to prove me wrong.
At least one of these films could make the Top Ten. Let's look at the Pros and Cons:
GERMANY-
In A Few Words: A violent, out-of-control 9-year old girl is bounced from foster home to foster home.
Pros: Well-made and well-plotted, with a fantastic lead performance and a great supporting cast. The film effectively dramatizes the moral dilemma and "no-win" situation for the German foster care system and even for the violent little girl.
Cons: It's difficult to sympathize with a violent, mentally disturbed lead character with criminal tendencies, destined to destroy every home she enters.
Bottom Line: It hasn't done well in the precursors, but it's definitely good enough to be on the bubble.
NORWAY-
In A Few Words: An elderly Swedish man returns to his old home in Norway where issues from his past resurface.
Pros: This is exactly the sort of film the Oscar committee would love in the 1980s and 1990s. Aimed at older voters, strong traditional filmmaking and storytelling.
Cons: It's not the 1980s anymore. Reviews are positive but not at all enthusiastic.
Bottom Line: It has a good chance with the large committee and none at all with the Elite one.
SWEDEN-
In A Few Words: An elite Georgian traditional dancer discovers his sexuality when he falls for another male dancer at the national dance school. It's representing Sweden because the openly gay director was born and raised in Sweden to Georgian immigrant parents.
Pros: It's an amazing film with an amazing backstory! It's a very thoughtful take on the usual "coming out" story with beautiful music, incredible dancing and surprisingly good acting from the unknown cast. It's exotic but relatable. The film's LGBT subject matter caused protests at its premiere in Georgia, and an Oscar nomination could show Georgia the value of the film.
Cons: This sort of slow-burn Eastern Euro drama and queer story is not what Oscar usually honors in this category.
Bottom Line: I think this is going to be a surprise snub, but I would love for Oscar to prove me wrong.
DARK HORSES
8. ITALY- “The Traitor”
9. UNITED KINGDOM- “The
Boy Who Harnessed the Wind”
So, I've only seen the UK entry- "The Boy Who Harnessed the Wind"- which is the feature directorial debut of British actor Chiwetel Ejiofor. Based on a true story, it's about an impoverished family in Malawi whose talented son develops new wind technology to help the village grow crops during the dry season. It's an accomplished film, it pulls at the heartstrings (especially the scene when the mother and daughter face the bandits) and is technically very well-made....and yet it somehow fades from the memory rather quickly. I'm not sure why, but I see other reviewers allude to the same thing.
ITALY has chosen yet another big splashy (overlong?) production about yet another Mafia family. "The Traitor" has gotten good but not great reviews. It did very well at the European Film Awards but I think AMPAS will have different tastes. While Americans like gangland dramas, they haven't nominated one in this category for years and I think this is likely to be forgotten. "Irishman" should check that box. I'll see it on Saturday.
ICELAND has the best reviews of these three. "A White White Day" is about a police officer who becomes obsessed with learning whether his late wife was having an affair with a local man. I haven't seen it yet, but reviews make this sound like one of the best on the list....but nobody is talking about it! With only ten slots available, I fear a small drama like this is likely to get lost in the shuffle.
So, I've only seen the UK entry- "The Boy Who Harnessed the Wind"- which is the feature directorial debut of British actor Chiwetel Ejiofor. Based on a true story, it's about an impoverished family in Malawi whose talented son develops new wind technology to help the village grow crops during the dry season. It's an accomplished film, it pulls at the heartstrings (especially the scene when the mother and daughter face the bandits) and is technically very well-made....and yet it somehow fades from the memory rather quickly. I'm not sure why, but I see other reviewers allude to the same thing.
ITALY has chosen yet another big splashy (overlong?) production about yet another Mafia family. "The Traitor" has gotten good but not great reviews. It did very well at the European Film Awards but I think AMPAS will have different tastes. While Americans like gangland dramas, they haven't nominated one in this category for years and I think this is likely to be forgotten. "Irishman" should check that box. I'll see it on Saturday.
ICELAND has the best reviews of these three. "A White White Day" is about a police officer who becomes obsessed with learning whether his late wife was having an affair with a local man. I haven't seen it yet, but reviews make this sound like one of the best on the list....but nobody is talking about it! With only ten slots available, I fear a small drama like this is likely to get lost in the shuffle.
MIDDLE OF THE PACK
10. LUXEMBOURG- “Tel Aviv on Fire”
11. NETHERLANDS- “Instinct”
12. BELGIUM- “Our Mothers”
The three Benelux countries fall squarely in the middle group. Let's start with the one native entry- "Instinct" from the NETHERLANDS. This is an interesting, original erotic thriller.....Think of "Elle", but made by a woman. It's about the psychological mind games played by a steely female prison psychiatrist (Carice van Houten) and a violent sex offender (Marwan Kenzari), with a record of romancing his victims prior to assaulting them. This is a strange film and despite the strong female lead and feminist director, I can see a lot of women being offended by it. It's extremely well-acted (I wish I spoke Dutch so I could avoid the subtitles and just look at the eyes of the two amazing lead actors) but the way the subject matter is handled is likely to turn off a lot of American viewers, and Carice's family subplot seems to hang awkwardly in the background for no reason.
Next is the film from Israel, I mean Palestine .....er..... LUXEMBOURG, "Tel Aviv on Fire". Expected to represent Israel, this dark screwball comedy was unexpectedly accepted to represent the Grand Duchy when it lost at the Ophirs. The film is not really "Luxembourgian" but the funding, filming and many of the supporting crew came from the country and I've always felt AMPAS should usually defer to the country itself regarding what constitutes a national production, so I'm glad it's here. It's about a Palestinian gofer who ends up being hired as a writer on a Palestinian soap opera popular with both Israelis and Palestinians, and the efforts of a dim-witted Israeli officer to blackmail the writer into changing the plot of the show to suit his wife's tastes. Many people are predicting this as a frontrunner, but this category doesn't often go for comedies like this (there are exceptions...."The Square" and "Days of Darkness"). And although the film has some very serious things to say about the Middle East conflict, I think it will ultimately be considered too light for a spot on the shortlist. I thought the film was very entertaining, though not Oscar-worthy....as for the American friend I saw it with, she didn't care for it at all.
Which brings us to GUATEMALA BELGIUM and their surprise Spanish-language entry "Our Mothers". The film focuses on the elderly, largely indigenous family members (mostly mothers) witnessing the 2018 trial of government soldiers who committed atrocities against their families during the Guatemalan civil war of the 1980s. Director Cesar Diaz, who emigrated to Belgium as an 18-year old student, made the film in Guatemala and despite winning a Cannes Camera d'Or it's probably the most obscure entry (aside from the Greek doc) on the Western European list. I haven't been able to see it myself, but neither Variety ("heartfelt but slight...[and] formulaic") nor the Hollywood Reporter ("uninvolving") were big fans.
HIGHLY UNLIKELY CHOICES:
13. PORTUGAL- “A Herdade”
Yes, I know that
“Joy”, the gritty drama about Nigerian prostitutes living in AUSTRIA, was
disqualified. The film was clearly a majority English-language production and
Austria knew this. But even if it had been eligible, I think it would have come
in towards the bottom of the list. “Joy” is certainly well-acted and probably
very realistic, but it’s not a pleasant film to watch and the lead character’s
motivations and bad choices are often unexplained.
PORTUGAL, which has
never advanced past the first round, has selected three-hour soap opera “The
Domain” (A Herdade), about a wealthy family’s ups and downs before and after
the Portuguese revolution in the 1970s. Covering four decades and looking like
an episode of “Dallas”, this sort of melodrama isn’t likely to interest
American audiences. I’ll see it on December 15th (the day before the
shortlist is announced) with two cups of coffee in hand.
IRELAND has selected a very
interesting documentary- “Gaza”- taking an intimate look at the lives of
ordinary Palestinian residents of the Gaza Strip which has been blockaded by
Egyptian and Israeli authorities for years. The personal stories are fascinating. For
those who have criticized the film for being anti-Israeli, I would say that the
purpose of the film is to show how the people of Gaza are living, and letting
them tell their stories and express what they think and how they feel. While
it’s true that the people in “Gaza” are largely anti-Israel, you also see how
the senseless violence of the young men and the enormous families that they
cannot support contribute to the territory’s problems. I felt the film was mostly
fair. But there are other documentaries (Macedonia and Iran) that have a better
chance of making the shortlist.
NO CHANCE AT ALL
16. FINLAND- “Stupid Young Heart”
17. SWITZERLAND- “Wolkenbruch”
18. GREECE- “When Tomatoes Met Wagner”
18. GREECE- “When Tomatoes Met Wagner”
This year, I don’t
think there were any “bad” films submitted from Western Europe….but these three
films simply don’t have any chance of making the final list.
For the third year in
a row, FINLAND made a somewhat surprising and edgy choice, selecting a
topical but little-heralded adolescent drama called “Stupid Young Heart”. This is a very realistic film about two irresponsible teens who end up with an unplanned pregnancy. In the background we see how Finland's fringe far-right groups are growing in response to opposition to small (mostly Somali) immigrant communities. It's reviews are all over the map. Some love it, some hate it, though most (like me) think it's average (there are some great moments but it fades when it tries to get sentimental at the very end). It currently
has the lowest IMDB score of any of the Western European films.
GREECE has selected “When
Tomatoes Met Wagner”, a pleasant 72-minute documentary about the effects of
globalization on a rural village. With a cast of sweet old ladies trying hard
to keep their village alive by exporting their sauces and spreads to foreign
markets, it’s interesting but is likely to be quickly forgotten.
I absolutely love
when countries choose comedies to represent them, so it was a pleasure to watch
SWITZERLAND’s culture-clash rom-com “Wolkenbruch”, about a young man
from Switzerland’s insular Orthodox Jewish community who falls for a
free-spirited young Christian girl who likes to drink and go clubbing. Based on
a beloved novel and filled with very broad Jewish humor, it’s an enjoyable film
(hence it’s pick-up by Netflix) but not serious or well-made enough to compete
at this level.
Now the statistics:
Number of countries who have participated in the past: 20
Number of countries participating
this year: 18
Number of debuts: Zero.
Number of countries opting out: Only the two minnows- MALTA (population: 500,000) and GREENLAND (population: 60,000), which
haven’t submitted since 2014 and 2012 respectively. I assumed Greenland would
return with “Anori”, but the director said she doesn’t believe the selection
committee is still functional.
Number I predicted correctly: 7- Denmark,
Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the UK. It was difficult this
year because so many Western Euro countries picked films I didn’t think were
eligible (Austria, Belgium, Luxembourg and the Netherlands).
Already Seen: 12- Austria (B), Denmark (B+), Finland (B), Germany (B+), Greece (B-), Ireland (B+), Luxembourg (B+), Netherlands (A-), Spain (A-), Sweden (A), Switzerland (B-) and the UK (B+). I have tickets to see three of the others (France, Italy, and Portugal) this weekend.
Film I'm most looking forward to seeing: Iceland’s “A White White Day”
Number of Female Directors: 6 (Over 30%) Marianna
Economou (Greece), Norah Flingscheidt (Germany), Sudabeh Mortezai (Austria),
Halina Reijn (Netherlands), May el-Toukhy (Denmark) and Selma Vilhunen
(Finland)
Oldest and Youngest Directors: 80-year old Marco Bellocchio
and 70-year old Pedro Almodovar are the two oldest directors in this year’s
entire competition. The youngest from Western Europe is 35-year old Hlynur
Palmason from Iceland.
Number of Foreign Languages Represented:
So many countries are choosing films in
languages other than their own! We have two each in Spanish (Belgium and
Spain), German (Germany and Switzerland), Arabic (Ireland and Luxembourg) plus
one each in Chichewa, Danish, Dutch, English (the disqualified entry from
Austria), Finnish, French, Georgian, Greek, Icelandic, Italian, Norwegian and
Portuguese. In this globalized world, we also have liberal doses of Hebrew
(Luxembourg), Somali (Finland) and Yiddish (Switzerland) plus a whole lot of
English as a second language.
Number of countries with a realistic
chance at making the shortlist: It’s a strong group….Maybe ten?
Buzziest film: Almodovar’s “Pain and Glory”
Oscar History: Of course, Almodovar is the champion
here. He’s been in the Foreign Film Oscar race seven times for Spain, winning
for “All About My Mother”, and nominated for “Women on the Verge of a Nervous
Breakdown”. He also won the Oscar for Best Screenplay for “Talk to Her”, and
was nominated for Best Director. The only other director who has been submitted
before is Italy’s Marco Bellocchio who competed twice in 1967 (!) with “China
is Near” and 1980 with “A Leap in the Dark”. In those days there were far fewer
countries competing and Italy was nominated nearly every year. Bellocchio has
the dubious distinction of being only the second and fifth director to fail to
net Italy a nomination. But he’s in good company. Federico Fellini was third
and fourth.
Outside the Foreign Film category,
Finland’s Selma Vilhunen got an Oscar nomination for her 7-minute short film
“Do I Have To Take Care of Everything” in 2014 and British actor Chiwetel
Ejiofor netted a Best Actor nod the same year for “12 Years A Slave”.
Controversies and Changes: Well, “Joy” from AUSTRIA was disqualified. Director Sudabeh Mortezai wrote an impassioned letter to the Academy asking them to
reconsider their decision but the fact is that the film is almost entirely in
English. When I was making predictions for Austria, I assumed it was ineligible
but once I saw the film on Netflix, it was clear from the moment I saw it that
it would be disqualified. Austria should have known better.
The Netherlands originally announced a
shortlist of nine mostly unheralded films. When they announced the winner a few
weeks later, they chose a film ("Instinct") that hadn’t been on the original list at
all.
Most Notable Omissions: The three biggest snubs were
costume drama “A Portrait of a Lady on Fire” (France), Best Documentary
frontrunner “For Sama” (UK) and Oscar winner Alejandro Amenabar’s “While At War”
(Spain), all of which fell victim to the one-film-per-country rule. Also out
early: “All About Me” (Germany), “Anori” (Greenland), “Before the Frost”
(Denmark), “Beware of Children” (Norway), “By the Grace of God” (France), “The
County” (Iceland), “Daniel” (Denmark), “The German Lesson” (Germany), “Martin
Eden” (Italy), “Non-Fiction” (France), “One Last Deal” (Finland) and “Young
Ahmed” (Belgium).
Familiar Faces: Obviously, the most familiar faces are
Antonio Banderas and Penelope Cruz who co-star as mother and son in “Pain and Glory”. Chiwetel Ejiofor (“The Boy Who Harnessed the Wind”) and Stellan
Skarsgard (“Out Stealing Horses”) are also on screen this year. Fans of Game of Thrones and Aladdin will recognize Dutch actors Carice van Houten and Marwan
Kenzari co-starring in “Instinct”. There’s also Lubna Azabal (“Tel Aviv on
Fire”), Cecilia Roth and Leonardo Sbaraglia (both also from “Pain and Glory”). Denmark's Trine Dyrholm isn’t a household name in
the West, but fans of this category will remember her from Oscar nominees “In A
Better World” and “A Royal Affair”.
Last year's race: I managed to see 14 out of the 17 nominees from Western Europe. “What
Will People Say” (Norway) and “The Guilty” (Denmark) were by far the best, and
I give both an ‘A’ grade…. It’s a shame neither got nominated. The others (in
order): Sweden (A-), Finland (A-; not sure why everyone hated this film), Italy
(B+), Iceland (B+), Belgium (B), Netherlands (B), UK (B), Spain (B-),
Luxembourg (B-), Greece (C), France (C-) and Austria (C-).
I only missed the
three-hour-long Oscar nominee “Never Look Away” (I don’t like long movies) and
the two obscure films from Portugal (I found the DVD in a Lisbon FNAC but it didn’t
have English subtitles) and Switzerland (which will finally be released on DVD in the
USA in December 2019).
NEXT: On December 14th, I'll publish the final 22 entries from Eastern Europe. I'm waiting to see "The Whistlers" on Friday night.
NEXT: On December 14th, I'll publish the final 22 entries from Eastern Europe. I'm waiting to see "The Whistlers" on Friday night.
3 comments:
Thanks for your always-thoughtful analysis of the movies and the competition. Regarding "Pain & Glory", I would add a couple other major attractions for Oscar voters...there is a lot of humor, and the protagonist is venerated in the story for his success as a writer/director.
Have seen 14 of them (except Netherlands, Ireland, Greece, and Portugal)
Spain - Surprisingly, one of my fewer favorite films as I am usually quite fascinated with the work of Almodovar. Despite the high profile it seems to be an open door for a (less pleasant) surprise as "Julieta" has already been snubbed 3 years ago, but probably the chances are in its favor.
France - Despite the awards I would not see France as a hot favorite. A lot of critics praise the last part of the film but find not so little flaws in the plot including character building. Personally, I would add the I have found the moral side not so good (but this's me).
Being a bit violent it may not have enough appeal for the Large Committee, while the Special one may like to choose films from smaller countries, must need to save another hot favorite or if there're supporters of "Portrairt of the Lady..." in the group some of them would like "to revenge" the French committee for sending "Les Miserables" instead.
Denmark - The film is mostly praised for the work of Trine Dyrholm, while most of the other aspects of the film could have additional work on...
I can hardly see how the prude Large Committee can vote for "incest" erotic drama, while
"Queen of Hearts" is neither big enough nor "exotic" to be saved by the Special Committee.
Germany - IMHO, one of the best films of this year (along with Swedish "And Then We Danced", Guatemalan "Tremors" and few others) so maybe I'm not so objective, but its spot in the shortlist seems to be almost locked. Actually, I don't know how can you not sympathize Benni, though being totally uncontrollable she's a heartful and the system are to blame the situation so it seems to me that most of the public empathize with her.
Norway - Though it's not 80's the film is very well-made with beautiful cinematography and known actors so "why not".
Iceland - The Elite Committee may like to save it, but personally, I found it over-stylistic with some holes in the story, but both ending scene and the main character's relationship with his granddaughter are touching.
Luxembourg - Holding my fingers crossed just to poke in the eye of the Israeli Academy for their obscure rules (and snubbing Gold Berlin Bear winner).
I responded to this yesterday, but it seems my comments didn't save....
I saw "Les Miserables" and "The Traitor" this weekend although I couldn't muster the energy to go back to the cinema to see 3-hour Portuguese soap opera "The Domain". So, we are even at 14. I'm missing Belgium, Iceland, Norway and Portugal.
I thought "Les Miserables" was excellent and I was surprised that it showed the French police in a mostly positive light. While the film's final Victor Hugo quote shows the director's views on the subject, I think this is a film with widespread appeal. "Les Miserables" got applause from the audience in the cinema; that same afternoon "The Traitor" was greeted with silence.
As for little Benni....She beat up a lovable 3-year old child, she robbed a store, she was rude and vulgar to people trying to help her....I don't think "the system" is to blame for Benni's situation as much as Benni herself. The movie seemed to show Benni's mother as a villain. I saw her as a weak-willed woman terrified of her own daughter and worried for her two children that don't destroy the family home. But I understand what you're saying....I guess I'm not just a nice person. I'm sure the Oscar committee will feel for her.
I don't think Luxembourg/Israel will manage a spot this year, but best of luck!
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