Here are the 17 films
from the Middle East, Africa and Australasia.
Unfortunately, I haven’t been able to see very
many of the films (only 5).
FRONT-RUNNERS
1. ISRAEL- “Incitement”
2. SENEGAL- “Atlantique”
Though these are the
front-runners from Africa and the Middle East, as of now, I’m not confident either
of them makes the shortlist. Each one is a potential dark horse for one
committee but not the other. Submitting for only the second time , SENEGAL
won the Cannes Jury Prize for “Atlantique”, a ghostly drama about a young
woman in Dakar where many young people are seeking to illegally live in
Europe. She's engaged to a rich man she doesn't like, and in love with a poor man who leaves her to work in Europe illegally. That's when the ghosts show up and set her mattress on fire.....So, Ada is having a bad week. It’s a critical darling but I didn’t like it….and I suspect mainstream
audiences won’t either. It’s only hope is an elite committee “save”…But as the
top contender from Africa, it is likely they could get that spot again (Senegal presumably
got a “save” for Berlinale Jury Prize winner “Félicité” two years ago) just for the sake of regional
diversity and to ward off future angry tweets from Ava DuVernay. The large
committee used to be a big fan of ISRAEL (though they haven’t been
nominated since 2011) and “Incitement” is supposed to be a very original political
thriller, focused on the Israeli terrorist who murdered Prime Minister
Yitzhak Rabin. Seeking to explain the mental motivations of an evil individual, it could follow in the footsteps of
“Downfall”, in this case unapologetic assassin Yigal Amir (who has somehow been
allowed to meet a wife and father two children while in an Israeli prison). Not sure how
voters will respond to a film that tries to get into the head of a murderer…but
it worked for “Paradise Now”. It’s on the bubble.
DARK HORSES:
3. ALGERIA- “Papicha”
4. IRAN- “Finding Farideh”
5. MOROCCO- “Adam”
6. TUNISIA- “Dear Son”
The three Maghrebian countries have each selected an intimate drama from Cannes about the difficulties of life in the modern Arab
world. All deal with controversial issues- feminism, jihadism, teenage pregnancy- and all have gotten mostly positive reviews. However, I doubt any of them
will have the gravitas to make it to the next round. “Papicha” from ALGERIA has
already achieved a minor miracle by making it to the Oscar competition at all.
Algerian authorities banned its release at the very last-minute (after it had
already been selected to represent the country) but AMPAS proved unusually
flexible and allowed the film to compete anyway. Contrary to the pouty, passive aggressive remarks
by Nigeria's Genevieve Nnaji, France-based director Mounia Meddour said that “the Oscar committee showed is good faith and was sensitive to the
sincerity of our request and for the freedom of expression.” “Papicha” is a feminist drama set
in the violent 1990s, about a group of university women who decide to put on a
fashion show despite a civil war in which an Islamist group was killing random women for failing to wear the veil. An ultra-liberal Algerian friend of mine saw the film and claimed it
would indeed touch a nerve in 2019 Algeria, where (peaceful) anti-government
protesters have been in the streets for months. To my shock and surprise, he agreed it would be dangerous to show in Algeria right now. I haven’t been able to see it
yet but Meddour says Algerians are going to see it in Tunisia. Most reviews
praise the “girl power” themes but also say the film has flaws. Variety called it “narratively
uneven” but it's definitely gunning for Senegal's African "save".
TUNISIA has selected “Dear Son”, a film about a devoted married
couple who pour all their time, money and energy into their introverted 19-year
old son Sami. When he disappears in the
middle of the night leaving his parents a chilling farewell note, the couple’s life falls
apart. Produced by the Brothers Dardennes, this is an interesting film that
sparked a lot of discussion between my friend and I. But Oscar does not like the Brothers Dardennes.
And although this film is better than theirs, the very slow beginning and some
of the plot ambiguities are likely to turn off enough American viewers to knock this one out of
the running. MOROCCO has the best reviews of the three, but has
been seen by far fewer people. This story of a homeless and pregnant runaway
from a middle-class home who finds solace with a poor, cantankerous widow is an
interesting variation on the once-successful “Kolya” (cranky old person +
adorable young person) formula. But probably too small to score here.
As for IRAN, they made a surprise choice by selecting documentary “Finding Farideh” about a Dutch woman who seeks to find her birth parents who gave her up for adoption in Iran 40 years before, around the time of the Iranian Revolution. Though we can’t rule it out
entirely, “Honeyland” from Macedonia is the documentary most likely to be
“saved” this year....But "Farideh" is supposed to be a wonderful film that makes you laugh and cry.....and perhaps this
will give it a boost in the super competitive Best Documentary Feature
category.
MIDDLE OF THE PACK:
7. PALESTINE- “It Must Be
Heaven”
8. AUSTRALIA- “Buoyancy”
9. SOUTH AFRICA- “Knuckle City”
9. SOUTH AFRICA- “Knuckle City”
10. SAUDI ARABIA- “The
Perfect Candidate”
All four of these films have their fans and three out of four have had multiple successes with Oscar, but I don't think reviews have been kind enough to believe that they really have a chance to advance. But I haven't seen any of them so it's hard to tell. Let's take a look:
AUSTRALIA- Human trafficking drama "Buoyancy" is about a young Cambodian sold into slavery on a Thai fishing vessel. Reviews are good but it's said to be a difficult watch and this sort of hyper-realism/tragedy doesn't always play well ("Lore" didn't managed a shortlist spot, though "The Notebook" did).
PALESTINE- Elia Suleiman is known as the Palestinian Charlie Chaplin and his films are adored by European arthouse critics for their comic look at the difficulties of being Palestinian. "It Must Be Heaven", filmed in France, Canada and the USA, is said to be his most accessible film yet. However, this is not European arthouse....his humor doesn't seem to translate across the Atlantic. I've hated both of the previous films I've seen, and I think his films are likely to go the same way as every Roy Andersson picture- quickly forgotten.
SAUDI ARABIA's feminist "The Perfect Candidate"- about a Saudi woman overcoming the odds to run for local office in the rapidly changing Kingdom- has got to be one of the sentimental favorites. Who wouldn't want to nominate Haifaa al-Mansour, especially after "Wadjda" was snubbed? Unfortunately, critics say "Candidate" isn't quite as good as "Wadjda" and that it's main point of interest is its window in Saudi Arabian life. Still, it's near the top of my list of "2019 Films I Want To See".
SOUTH AFRICA, tirelessly trying to repeat their "Tsotsi" win, has selected yet another urban drama set in the townships. "Knuckle City" is a grim boxing drama about an aging boxer and South Africa's toxic masculinity culture. No major awards, no buzz, and likely a difficult watch.
VERY UNLIKELY:
11. LEBANON- “1982”
12. KENYA- “Subira”
13. ETHIOPIA- “Running Against the Wind”
13. ETHIOPIA- “Running Against the Wind”
14. GHANA- “Azali”
Let's start with the three obscure African titles. First of all, I'm so happy to see countries like Ethiopia, Kenya and (for the first time!) Ghana competing in this category. I can't wait to see these films. "Subira" from KENYA is a Swahili-language film shot over the course of four years so you really see Subira, a young Muslim woman, grow up on screen. A tomboy who enjoys swimming, Subira is eventually forced by her family to conform to a strict religious upbringing and early marriage. Directed by German helmer Jan Philippe Weyl, ETHIOPIA is represented by "Running Against the Wind", about two brothers who grow up together. One finds success, the other remains in his impoverished village, until they meet up again as adults. The most obscure film on the Oscar list, I can't even find a trailer online. Although they had a committee approved in 2017, GHANA took three years to make their Oscar debut with "Azali", a human trafficking drama about a greedy family that forces their teenage daughter to go work in the capital. She is exploited and forced into prostitution, and desperately tries to find her way back home. All these films are low-budget works of love. I think they will all make a positive impression, but don't have a chance of making the top tier.
LEBANON is hoping to make it three in a row with "1982", after receiving its first two Oscar nominations ever for "The Insult" and "Capernaum". That's unlikely to happen with "1982" (Toronto), about the lives of ordinary schoolchildren during the First Lebanon War between Israel & Lebanon. Reviews have been okay, but the trailer looks boring and nobody seems terribly impressed by it.
BETTER LUCK NEXT YEAR:
15. TURKEY- “Commitment: Asli”
16. EGYPT- “Poisonous Roses”
17. NIGERIA- “Lionheart”
So, yes, I know that NIGERIA
has been disqualified because they sent an English-language film. And, yes, I know
Ava DuVernay is very upset about this, because she doesn’t understand what "non-English dialogue " means. But even if Nigeria hadn’t been disqualified, I would rank
“Lionheart” dead last. It’s not a bad film….and it’s certainly not the worst
film on the list. But it is a formulaic, lightweight and mostly forgettable
sit-com of a movie. And while a pleasant sit-com may be fun to watch, it’s not
getting an Oscar. And, yes, it is almost entirely in English and deserved to be disqualified.
“Commitment: Asli”
got a last-minute release to represent TURKEY, and is supposed to be the
first film in a “Commenitment” trilogy by arthouse director Semih Kaplanoğlu. Let me explain the plot to you. It’s about a married career woman who hires a young woman to take care of her
newborn baby. She gets jealous of the young woman…..and….well….for 2 ½ hours, that’s about it. Of
the 42 films I’ve seen, this is the only one where I suspect I fell asleep a
few times. For me, it was simply not a very interesting story and it should
have been edited into a 30-minute short film. Perhaps someone with parenting
experience who enjoys watching a baby monitor will like it . Unlike the overlong “Asli”, the spare 70-minute
“Poisonous Roses” from EGYPT is the shortest film in the Foreign Oscar
competition. It’s a grim drama about an impoverished family- mother, son and
daughter- and their lives in a Cairo slum. The daughter is seemingly obsessed
with her brother, who mostly ignores her and dreams of working abroad. It’s
interesting “poverty porn”, but it’s confusing and low-budget and won’t have a
chance here.
Now the statistics:
Number of countries who have participated in the past: 31……18 from Africa, 11 from the Middle East plus Australia and New Zealand.
Number of countries participating
this year: 17,
plus Burkina Faso which unsuccessfully tried to submit an entry.
Number of debuts: 2- Nigeria (disqualified) and Ghana
Number of countries opting out: Technically 13….But the only
regular contributors to be absent are IRAQ and NEW ZEALAND. Both of them have
submitted five of the past six years, so I was very surprised to see them missing. This is especially true for New Zealand, which had seemed very proud of
“Vai” an omnibus film of eight South Pacific films made by women. It premiered
in a Berlinale sidebar, and is likely the only time people in Hollywood would ever
see places like Niue and the Solomon Islands on screen. Almost all the
directors are NZ citizens or NZ-based and this was a real missed opportunity by
the NZ Film Commission. L
Number I predicted correctly: Only 5-
Australia, Kenya, Morocco, Senegal and Tunisia, mostly because many of the
countries (like Ethiopia, Lebanon and Turkey) chose last-minute releases that
I’d never even heard of.
Already Seen: 5. These films have been almost impossible to find. I’ve only seen the nominees from Egypt, Nigeria (DQ), Senegal, Tunisia and Turkey.
Film I'm most looking forward to seeing: Definitely “The Perfect Candidate”, a peek into the life of women in Saudi Arabia.
Number of Female Directors: 7! That’s over 40%! Ravneet
Sippy Chadha (Kenya), Mati Diop (Senegal), Haifaa al-Mansour (Saudi Arabia),
Mounia Meddour (Algeria), Azadeh Moussavi (Iran), Genevieve Nnaji (Nigeria) and
Maryam Touzani (Tunisia)
Oldest and Youngest Directors: Probably 59-year old Elia Suleiman
(Palestine) and 29-year old Kourosh Ataee (Iran)
Number of Foreign Languages Represented:
Lots of multi-lingual films here, but it seems
that we have 5 in Arabic and one each in Akan, Amharic, Hebrew, Swahili,
Turkish, Wolof and Xhosa and (because Nigeria doesn’t want to follow the rules)
English. Five are roughly bilingual: Persian/Dutch (Iran), French/Arabic
(Algeria), Thai/Khmer (Australia) while Palestine’s
odd entry is in a mix of Arabic, English and Spanish.
Number of countries with a realistic
chance at making the shortlist: Maybe four?
Buzziest film: “Atlantique” from Senegal
Oscar History: Four of these directors have been here
before, including South Africa’s Jahmil X.T. Qubeka, one of the few directors
in recent history to represent his country two years in a row (“Sew the Winter
to My Skin” repped SA last year). The others are Elia Suleiman (“Divine
Intervention”, 2003), Semih Kaplanoğlu (“Honey”, 2010) and Haifaa al-Mansour
(“Wadjda”, 2013).
Controversies and Changes: Well, everyone is focused on the (totally
justified) disqualification of Nigeria’s “Lionheart”. While Genevieve Nnaji and
Ava DuVernay have ignorantly complained and made thinly veiled allegations of
racism, the fact is that they didn’t read the one rule that has remained
unchanged for decades- that films have to be in a language other than English.
More upsetting (but not widely reported) was
the failure to accept the first submission from BURKINA FASO in thirty years, the self-declared
home of African arthouse cinema. Writer-director Apolline
Traore tried unsuccessfully to enter “Desrances”, which followed all the rules but unfortunately Burkina Faso did not have a recognized Oscar selection committee. It’s a shame that Ava duVernay
used her celebrity to come to the defense of a ridiculously unqualified
Nigerian film, when two other talented female filmmakers of color (Burkina Faso
and Afghanistan) whose films met Oscar rules were disqualified on
technicalities.
Most Notable Omissions: As mentioned before, the most
shocking omission this year is “Vai” from New Zealand. Also absent: “The Burial
of Kojo” (Ghana), “Castle of Dreams”
(Iran), “Screwdriver” (Palestine), “Amra and the Second Marriage” (Saudi
Arabia), “Moffie” and “The Harvesters” (South Africa), “A Tale of Three
Sisters” and “Sibel” (Turkey).
Familiar Faces: The biggest international star is Gael
Garcia Bernal (“It Must Be Heaven”) but you’re also likely to recognize Nadine
Labaki (“1982”) and Lubna Azabal (“Adam”).
Last year's race: I saw 12 of the 17 films submitted last year, including my favorite film
from last year’s competition- “Beauty and the Dogs” from Tunisia. Also deserving of a nomination was “10 Days
Before the Wedding” from Yemen, whose backstory was as good as the film itself.
I also saw Algeria (B-), Egypt (B), Iran (B+), Iraq (B), Israel (A-), Kenya
(B+), Lebanon (A-), Malawi (B), New Zealand (D) and Palestine (C).
2 comments:
Israel - I'm quite angry with the Israeli Academy for sending "Inciment" both because I find it to be the weakest one out of the 5 nominees (and of course the awful snub of "Synonymes" from the main category) and also because do not really think that it's the Best Picture of the year (honestly, it has taken only one other award beside Best Picture, which is Best Casting and was not even nominated for Best Director and Best Screenplay award).
I find it totally dragged out and politically preaching film.
Senegal - I do hope the Committee will consider saving it, I found it magical.
Turkey - Have you seen previous works of Semih Kaplanoglu? I mean all his films have a very little plot so one could not expect something else.
I totally agree with you about "Beauty and the Dogs", it was one of the best films that I've seen during 2018.
Thanks Ilia!
I've seen one of Kaplanoglu's films and I didn't like it either. There's just so little that happens in "Commitment Asli". It's just kind of "So what?".
For Israel, I admit "Incitement" has me confused...I know very few people who have seen it so it was hard to rank. For now, I have it ranked around 12th in my predictions worldwide but I do think it has a chance with the Large Committee. We'll see!
I'll plan to publish Western Europe on December 8th after seeing Denmark and Netherlands this weekend.
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